Astros at Mets
Last play · Simon Juan grounds into a double play, shortstop Tommy Sacco Jr. to second baseman Jax Biggers to first baseman John Garcia. Kevin Villavicencio out at 2nd. Simon Juan out at 1st.
Win probability
Mets0%
HOU 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 1 NYM
Astros led after 5
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Mason Lytle scores. Jax Biggers scores. (inning 8) — -61% Astros
8James Nelson singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jorge Polanco. Yainer Diaz scores. James Nelson to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Jorge Polanco.7–5
8Christian Walker homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Mason Lytle scores. Jax Biggers scores.6–5
6AJ Salgado singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Marcus Semien scores.3–5
6Marcus Semien doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Jorge Polanco scores. Luis Robert Jr. scores. Brett Baty scores.3–4
5Francisco Alvarez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. AJ Salgado scores.3–1
2Nick Allen singles on a pop up to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Yainer Diaz scores. Riley Unroe scores.3–0
2Francisco Alvarez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Christian Walker called out on strikes.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






