Pirates at Twins
Last play · Tres Gonzalez pops out to catcher Noah Cardenas.
Win probability
Twins100%
PIT 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Twins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Keaschall homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Martin scores. Matt Wallner scores. (inning 3) — +27% Twins
3Victor Caratini homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–5
3Luke Keaschall homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Martin scores. Matt Wallner scores.1–4
3Henry Davis singles on a fly ball to center fielder Alan Roden, deflected by second baseman Kody Clemens. Tyler Callihan scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.1–1
1Kody Clemens grounds out softly, pitcher Noah Davis to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr. Matt Wallner scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






