Pirates at Orioles
Last play · Konnor Griffin flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
Win probability
Orioles100%
PIT 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Orioles favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jhonkensy Noel homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jeremiah Jackson scores. (inning 2) — +16% Orioles
5Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jared Triolo scores.2–5
5Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, third baseman Bryan Ramos to first baseman Jhonkensy Noel. Jake Mangum scores. Jared Triolo to 2nd.1–5
3Samuel Basallo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Leody Taveras scores.0–5
2Jhonkensy Noel homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jeremiah Jackson scores.0–3
1Samuel Basallo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






