Marlins at Mets
Last play · Kevin Parada called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 0 NYM
Marlins led after 5
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christopher Morel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Jakob Marsee scores. (inning 6) — -14% Marlins
8A.J. Ewing out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daniel Johnson. Nick Lorusso scores.2–1
6Christopher Morel out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Jakob Marsee scores.2–0
4Connor Norby reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Bo Bichette. Jakob Marsee scores. Griffin Conine to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






