Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Brody Moore grounds out, pitcher Kyle Luckham to first baseman Warming Bernabel.
Win probability
Nationals100%
STL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 WSH
Tied through 5
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cayden Wallace walks. Randal Diaz scores. Ethan Petry to 3rd. Leandro Pineda to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Nationals
8Cristhian Vaquero singles on a fly ball to right fielder Chase Davis. Cayden Wallace scores. Jack Rogers scores. Warming Bernabel to 3rd.1–6
8Warming Bernabel walks.1–4
8Jack Rogers walks. Ethan Petry scores. Leandro Pineda to 3rd. Cayden Wallace to 2nd.1–3
8Cayden Wallace walks. Randal Diaz scores. Ethan Petry to 3rd. Leandro Pineda to 2nd.1–2
3Victor Scott II out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Ken Waldichuk to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Bryan Torres scores. Ramon Mendoza to 2nd.1–1
1Daylen Lile reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Yohel Pozo. Nasim Nuñez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






