Mets at Marlins
Last play · Onix Vega flies out to left fielder Colby Shade.
Win probability
Marlins100%
NYM 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heriberto Hernández homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +11% Marlins
6Heriberto Hernández homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Connor Norby homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






