Cardinals at Mets
Last play · Cade McGee strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
STL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Brett Baty scores. (inning 3) — +17% Mets
6Jihwan Bae triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Petrutz. Jacob Reimer scores.1–6
4Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brody Moore. Jackson Cluff scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.1–5
3Francisco Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Brett Baty scores.1–4
3Jorge Polanco homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Brett Baty singles on a line drive to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Jorge Polanco scores.1–1
1Nelson Velázquez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






