Mets at Cardinals
Last play · Ryan Clifford grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Rivas to first baseman Blaze Jordan.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
NYM 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 1) — +22% Cardinals
2Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Nathan Church scores. Victor Scott II out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Tyrone Taylor to catcher Francisco Alvarez to third baseman Bo Bichette to second baseman Marcus Semien.1–3
1Nelson Velázquez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.1–2
1Jorge Polanco homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






