Pirates at Braves
Last play · Carlos Caro strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
PIT 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jordan Groshans scores. (inning 5) — +18% Braves
7Luis Guanipa singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Carl Calixte. Colby Jones scores. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. scores. Ambioris Tavarez to 3rd. Luis Guanipa to 2nd.1–8
7Colby Jones singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Cal Conley scores.1–6
6Luis Guanipa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz, deflected by shortstop Jared Triolo. Jorge Mateo scores.1–5
5Austin Riley homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jordan Groshans scores.1–4
5Matt Olson doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jhostynxon Garcia. Drake Baldwin scores.1–2
2Jorge Mateo singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Dominic Smith scores. Michael Harris II to 2nd.1–1
2Nick Yorke out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Jared Triolo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






