Tigers at D-backs
DET6–
AZ9Last play · Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs100%
DET 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 8 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Jordan Lawlar scores. (inning 2) — +15% D-backs
7Ildemaro Vargas homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.6–9
7Spencer Torkelson doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Lawlar. Riley Greene scores.6–8
7Riley Greene singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Colt Keith scores.5–8
7Colt Keith doubles (3) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jordan Lawlar. Javier Báez scores. Gleyber Torres scores.4–8
7Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Dillon Dingler scores.2–8
7Dillon Dingler doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Kevin McGonigle scores.1–8
5Diamondbacks challenged (force play), call on the field was overturned: Ketel Marte reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Javier Báez. Alek Thomas scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Jordan Lawlar to 2nd.0–8
5Jordan Lawlar walks. Nolan Arenado scores. Alek Thomas to 3rd. Carlos Santana to 2nd.0–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.