Last play · Tim Tawa pops out to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
D-backs0%
ATL 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
ATL 10 – 1 AZ
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-112 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Lawlar homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — +16% D-backs
9Ildemaro Vargas doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Gabriel Moreno scores.17–2
9Mike Yastrzemski doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Tim Tawa. Matt Olson scores.17–1
9Kyle Farmer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tim Tawa. Drake Baldwin scores.16–1
9Matt Olson doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Mauricio Dubón scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd.15–1
9Jorge Mateo homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Harris II scores.14–1
6Mike Yastrzemski grounds out, first baseman Carlos Santana to pitcher Joe Ross. Drake Baldwin scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.12–1
6Mauricio Dubón homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.11–1
5Michael Harris II doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Lawlar. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ozzie Albies scores.10–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.