Braves at D-backs
Last play · Gabriel Moreno flies out to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr.
Win probability
D-backs0%
ATL 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 0 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-107 / -113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — -46% Braves
9Matt Olson homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
9Ozzie Albies homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






