Astros at Athletics
Last play · Max Muncy strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics0%
HOU 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 7 – 0 ATH
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (1) on a line drive to left center field. (inning 3) — -14% Astros
8Cam Smith homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.11–0
6Yordan Alvarez singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Yainer Diaz scores. Christian Vázquez to 3rd.10–0
6Christian Vázquez doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Joey Loperfido scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd.9–0
6Joey Loperfido singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Christian Walker scores.8–0
4Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Christian Walker scores. Joey Loperfido scores.7–0
4Joey Loperfido hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Carlos Correa scores. Christian Walker to 3rd.5–0
3Christian Vázquez doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Jake Meyers scores.4–0
3Christian Walker homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






