Astros at Athletics
Last play · Christian Vázquez flies out to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom.
Win probability
Athletics100%
HOU 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 11 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Brent Rooker scores. Lawrence Butler scores. (inning 3) — +17% Athletics
9Yainer Diaz doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Cam Smith scores.4–11
9Jake Meyers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Nick Allen scores.3–11
7Brice Matthews walks. Nick Allen scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.2–11
5Tyler Soderstrom doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Shea Langeliers scores.1–11
4Max Muncy homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–10
4Lawrence Butler homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Brent Rooker scores. Jacob Wilson scores.1–9
4Jacob Wilson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Brent Rooker to 3rd.1–6
4Tyler Soderstrom singles on a pop up to first baseman Christian Walker. Denzel Clarke scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






