Last play · Brent Rooker homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores.
Win probability
Athletics100%
HOU 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 3 – 5 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 10
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-133 / +110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brent Rooker homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores. (inning 10) — +51% Athletics
10Brent Rooker homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores.10–12
10Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Nick Allen scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd. Carlos Correa to 2nd.10–9
8Cam Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Nick Allen scores. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.9–9
8Jose Altuve doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Joey Loperfido scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.7–9
8Jake Meyers homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.6–9
7Carlos Cortes singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Max Muncy scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.5–9
7Jeff McNeil singles on a pop up to center fielder Jake Meyers, deflected by shortstop Nick Allen. Lawrence Butler scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.5–8
7Brent Rooker homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Soderstrom scores.5–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.