Royals at Braves
Last play · Dominic Smith hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Eli White scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
KC 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 0 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to pitcher Carlos Estévez. Jorge Mateo scores. Eli White to 3rd. Ozzie Albies to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Braves
9Dominic Smith hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Eli White scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II scores.2–6
9Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to pitcher Carlos Estévez. Jorge Mateo scores. Eli White to 3rd. Ozzie Albies to 2nd.2–2
9Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Drake Baldwin scores. Jorge Mateo to 3rd.2–1
8Vinnie Pasquantino reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Matt Olson. Maikel Garcia scores. Fielding error by first baseman Matt Olson.2–0
7Salvador Perez homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






