Royals at Braves
Last play · Ozzie Albies grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Mike Yastrzemski out at 2nd. Ozzie Albies out at 1st.
Win probability
Braves0%
KC 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 0 ATL
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+126 / -153
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Royals
8Drake Baldwin homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
8Carter Jensen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.4–0
5Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.3–0
4Carter Jensen homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
3Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






