Nationals at Cubs
Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
WSH 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 7 – 3 CHC
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 9 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+169 / -207
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cubs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nationals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: CJ Abrams singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile scores. CJ Abrams out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Matt Shaw to second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Joey Wiemer to 3rd. (inning 4) — -26% Nationals
9Brady House homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Luis García Jr. scores.10–4
7Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Brady House. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman to 2nd.8–4
6Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Matt Shaw.8–3
4Dansby Swanson grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Nico Hoerner scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.7–3
4Jacob Young homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Keibert Ruiz scores.7–2
4Nasim Nuñez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Joey Wiemer scores.5–2
4Nationals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: CJ Abrams singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile scores. CJ Abrams out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Matt Shaw to second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Joey Wiemer to 3rd.4–2
4Daylen Lile singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Andrés Chaparro scores. Brady House to 3rd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






