Angels at Cubs
Last play · Yoán Moncada strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
LAA 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 6 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cubs favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carson Kelly singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Ian Happ scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 1) — +16% Cubs
7Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Nico Hoerner scores.2–7
7Yoán Moncada homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jorge Soler scores.2–6
3Moisés Ballesteros singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nico Hoerner scores.0–6
3Ian Happ homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
1Carson Kelly singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Ian Happ scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–3
1Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Josh Lowe. Michael Busch scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






