Blue Jays at White Sox
Last play · Nathan Lukes grounds out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
White Sox100%
TOR 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 1 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Munetaka Murakami homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Miguel Vargas scores. (inning 6) — +34% White Sox
8Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ernie Clement. Miguel Vargas scores. Austin Hays scores. Throwing error by catcher Tyler Heineman, assist to second baseman Ernie Clement to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Luisangel Acuña out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Myles Straw to shortstop Andrés Giménez.3–6
7Nathan Lukes flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Tristan Peters to first baseman Munetaka Murakami to third baseman Miguel Vargas. Myles Straw scores. Tyler Heineman out at 3rd.3–4
6Colson Montgomery homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–4
6Munetaka Murakami homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Miguel Vargas scores.2–3
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Davis Schneider scores.2–1
1Munetaka Murakami out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Lenyn Sosa scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






