Cubs at Guardians

Scoreboard

CHC5–CLE6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · CHC 4-5 · CLE 6-4

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	5	7	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	·	6	9	0

Last play · Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians100%

CHC 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 0 CLE

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-131 / +109

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (4) on a line drive to right field. (inning 8) — -33% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–CLE · 8 total

9Ian Happ singles on a fly ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Nico Hoerner scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.5–6

8Austin Hedges singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Rhys Hoskins scores. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.4–6

8Gabriel Arias singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Chase DeLauter scores. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd.4–5

8CJ Kayfus homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–4

8Ian Happ homers (4) on a line drive to right field.4–3

6Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. CJ Kayfus scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd.3–3

6Chase DeLauter out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Angel Martínez scores.3–2

6CJ Kayfus singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.3–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.