Cubs at Guardians
Last play · Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
CHC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 0 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Amaya singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Dylan Carlson scores. (inning 8) — -26% Cubs
8Miguel Amaya singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Dylan Carlson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






