Cubs at Guardians
Last play · Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CHC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-112 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — +22% Guardians
7Chase DeLauter homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores.1–4
7Gabriel Arias homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
5Chase DeLauter singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Daniel Schneemann scores. Gabriel Arias out at home on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to catcher Carson Kelly.1–1
3Miguel Amaya doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






