Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Travis Bazzana singles on a ground ball to center fielder Max Clark. Brayan Rocchio scores.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 0 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+133 / -161
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis Bazzana homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 8) — +45% Guardians
10Travis Bazzana singles on a ground ball to center fielder Max Clark. Brayan Rocchio scores.3–4
8Travis Bazzana homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Steven Kwan scores.3–3
6Nathaniel Lowe doubles (22) on a line drive to center fielder Max Clark. José Ramírez scores.3–1
5Eduardo Valencia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Gleyber Torres scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.3–0
3Kevin McGonigle doubles (25) on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Gleyber Torres scores. Hao-Yu Lee to 3rd.2–0
3Hao-Yu Lee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Zach McKinstry scores. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






