Phillies at Rockies
Last play · Willi Castro strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
PHI 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 1 COL
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 11
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-156 / +129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Brandon Marsh scores. Justin Crawford to 3rd. (inning 5) — -16% Phillies
5Trea Turner doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Brandon Marsh scores. Justin Crawford to 3rd.2–1
3Brett Sullivan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Troy Johnston scores.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Trea Turner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






