Phillies at Rockies
Last play · Brenton Doyle called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rockies0%
PHI 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 10 – 1 COL
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-186 / +153
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd. (inning 1) — -21% Phillies
5Kyle Schwarber homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.10–1
4Willi Castro grounds out softly, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Mickey Moniak scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.9–1
3Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.9–0
2Bryce Harper homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.8–0
1Trea Turner singles on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. J.T. Realmuto scores.7–0
1Brandon Marsh homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott scores.6–0
1Bryson Stott doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd.3–0
1Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






