Cardinals at Tigers
Last play · Victor Scott II grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Tigers100%
STL 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dillon Dingler homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Riley Greene scores. (inning 4) — +22% Tigers
6Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Parker Meadows scores.0–4
5Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Gleyber Torres scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd.0–3
4Dillon Dingler homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Riley Greene scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






