Cardinals at Tigers
Last play · Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
STL 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 6 – 8 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Walker hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Gorman scores. (inning 5) — -23% Cardinals
8Matt Vierling homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Torkelson scores.6–11
7Gleyber Torres homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.6–9
5Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Riley Greene scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Zach McKinstry to 2nd.6–8
5Jordan Walker hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Gorman scores.6–7
5Alec Burleson doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.2–7
4Matt Vierling out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Church. Parker Meadows scores.1–7
4Zach McKinstry homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Dillon Dingler scores.1–6
3Kerry Carpenter out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Kevin McGonigle scores.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






