Angels at Astros
Last play · Jake Meyers flies out to second baseman Oswald Peraza.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 0 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Trout homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -19% Angels
9Nolan Schanuel homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
8Oswald Peraza singles on a soft line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Jo Adell scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd.2–0
7Mike Trout homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






