Angels at Astros
Last play · Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 5 – 2 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Lowe homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Yoán Moncada scores. Jo Adell scores. (inning 2) — -33% Angels
9Zach Neto homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.6–2
5Yordan Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
5Mike Trout homers (2) on a line drive to left field.5–1
2Josh Lowe homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Yoán Moncada scores. Jo Adell scores.4–1
1Jose Altuve walks.1–1
1Nolan Schanuel grounds into a double play, second baseman Jose Altuve to shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout out at 2nd. Nolan Schanuel out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






