Angels at Astros
LAA7–
HOU9Last play · Yoán Moncada called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
LAA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 6 – 6 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Cam Smith scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. (inning 8) — +34% Astros
9Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith, deflected by first baseman Christian Walker. Adam Frazier scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.7–9
8Jose Altuve doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jo Adell. Nick Allen scores.6–9
8Isaac Paredes doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Cam Smith scores. Yordan Alvarez scores.6–8
5Christian Walker doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve scores.6–6
4Zach Neto homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Travis d'Arnaud scores.6–4
3Jo Adell singles on a line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Jorge Soler scores.4–4
3Jorge Soler doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores. Nolan Schanuel scores.3–4
2Isaac Paredes reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Yoán Moncada. Christian Vázquez scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.