Angels at Astros
LAA9–
HOU11Last play · Jorge Soler called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
LAA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 6 – 3 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to catcher Logan O'Hoppe. Joey Loperfido scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Throwing error by catcher Logan O'Hoppe. (inning 6) — +31% Astros
9Nolan Schanuel homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores.9–11
6Jake Meyers doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Cam Smith scores. Yainer Diaz scores.6–11
6Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Carlos Correa scores. Christian Walker scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.6–9
6Christian Walker singles on a line drive to shortstop Zach Neto, deflected by pitcher Walbert Ureña. Isaac Paredes scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.6–7
6Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to catcher Logan O'Hoppe. Joey Loperfido scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Throwing error by catcher Logan O'Hoppe.6–6
6Walbert Ureña intentionally walks Yordan Alvarez.6–4
5Carlos Correa singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Isaac Paredes scores.6–3
5Isaac Paredes doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Josh Lowe. Jake Meyers scores. Jose Altuve scores.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.