Brewers at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals0%
MIL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 0 KC
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Mitchell doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Luis Rengifo scores. Christian Yelich scores. (inning 1) — -21% Brewers
7Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Brice Turang. Lane Thomas scores.5–2
7Lane Thomas doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Nick Loftin scores.5–1
3Garrett Mitchell homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.5–0
1Garrett Mitchell doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Luis Rengifo scores. Christian Yelich scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






