Brewers at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino flies out to right fielder Blake Perkins.
Win probability
Royals0%
MIL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 2 KC
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Jonathan India scores. Isaac Collins scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd. (inning 7) — +26% Royals
9Brandon Lockridge singles on a fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Jake Bauers scores.8–5
9Jake Bauers doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Christian Yelich scores.7–5
7Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Jonathan India scores. Isaac Collins scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.6–5
7Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Starling Marte scores. Jonathan India to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd.6–3
7William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Loftin. Brice Turang scores. Luis Rengifo scores.6–2
4Blake Perkins doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Brandon Lockridge scores.4–2
3Maikel Garcia homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan India scores.3–2
1Gary Sánchez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Christian Yelich scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






