Mariners at Angels
Last play · Leo Rivas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
SEA 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-168 / +139
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 1) — +13% Angels
1Zach Neto homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






