Mariners at Angels
Last play · Nolan Schanuel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Adam Frazier scores.
Win probability
Angels100%
SEA 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 5 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-168 / +139
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan O'Hoppe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jo Adell scores. (inning 10) — +42% Angels
11Nolan Schanuel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Adam Frazier scores.7–8
10Logan O'Hoppe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jo Adell scores.7–7
10Randy Arozarena singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Julio Rodríguez scores.7–6
9Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Frazier. Cal Raleigh scores.6–6
5Adam Frazier singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jo Adell scores.5–6
5Jo Adell singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jeimer Candelario scores.5–5
5Cole Young homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. J.P. Crawford scores.5–4
4Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Zach Neto to 2nd.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






