D-backs at Dodgers
Last play · Gabriel Moreno flies out to shortstop Mookie Betts.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
AZ 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+194 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Max Muncy scores. Teoscar Hernández scores. (inning 5) — +45% Dodgers
7Will Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Mookie Betts scores.2–8
7Mookie Betts singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Kyle Tucker scores.2–6
7Kyle Tucker doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Shohei Ohtani scores.2–5
5Will Smith singles on a ground ball to first baseman Carlos Santana. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd. Freddie Freeman to 2nd.2–4
5Andy Pages homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Max Muncy scores. Teoscar Hernández scores.2–3
4Geraldo Perdomo homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Corbin Carroll scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






