D-backs at Dodgers
Last play · Ketel Marte grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
AZ 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 4 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+203 / -252
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mookie Betts homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Shohei Ohtani scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 3) — +38% Dodgers
8Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Alex Freeland scores.4–5
4Alek Thomas doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Pavin Smith scores. Carlos Santana scores. Alek Thomas out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Kyle Tucker to second baseman Alex Freeland to third baseman Max Muncy.4–4
3Mookie Betts homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Shohei Ohtani scores. Kyle Tucker scores.2–4
3Alex Freeland homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
3Ketel Marte homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
2Alek Thomas doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Gabriel Moreno scores. Pavin Smith out at home on the throw, right fielder Kyle Tucker to second baseman Alex Freeland to catcher Will Smith.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






