Rockies at Marlins
Last play · Brenton Doyle lines out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
Win probability
Marlins100%
COL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 2 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+163 / -199
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to shortstop Otto Lopez. Willi Castro scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd. TJ Rumfield to 2nd. (inning 4) — -12% Rockies
4Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to shortstop Otto Lopez. Willi Castro scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.1–2
2Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Owen Caissie scores. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.0–2
2Owen Caissie doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Xavier Edwards scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






