Rockies at Marlins
Last play · Brenton Doyle flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
Win probability
Marlins100%
COL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 3 MIA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+163 / -199
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Liam Hicks homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — +29% Marlins
8Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Otto Lopez scores.3–4
5Liam Hicks homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Agustín Ramírez scores.3–3
4Ezequiel Tovar homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Willi Castro scores.3–1
3Liam Hicks out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Troy Johnston. Xavier Edwards scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.1–1
2TJ Rumfield homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






