Rockies at Marlins
Last play · Owen Caissie homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Javier Sanoja scores.
Win probability
Marlins100%
COL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 2 MIA
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Owen Caissie homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Javier Sanoja scores. (inning 9) — +55% Marlins
9Owen Caissie homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Javier Sanoja scores.3–4
2Austin Slater out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Beck. Xavier Edwards scores. Deyvison De Los Santos to 3rd.3–2
1Otto Lopez doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Beck. Jakob Marsee scores.3–1
1Jordan Beck doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Hunter Goodman scores. Willi Castro scores. TJ Rumfield scores. Jordan Beck to 3rd. Jordan Beck advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Otto Lopez.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






