White Sox at Marlins
Last play · Xavier Edwards grounds out, second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Miguel Vargas.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CWS 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 8 – 3 MIA
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hays homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores. Munetaka Murakami scores. (inning 3) — -26% White Sox
8Liam Hicks singles on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Jakob Marsee scores.9–4
6Marlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Miguel Vargas out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Owen Caissie. Luisangel Acuña scores.9–3
5Jakob Marsee singles on a line drive to right fielder Everson Pereira. Griffin Conine scores.8–3
4Liam Hicks homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Xavier Edwards scores.8–2
4Miguel Vargas hits a grand slam (1) to left field. Tristan Peters scores. Everson Pereira scores. Luisangel Acuña scores.8–0
3Austin Hays homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores. Munetaka Murakami scores.4–0
3Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to left fielder Griffin Conine. Everson Pereira scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






