White Sox at Brewers
Last play · Luisangel Acuña grounds into a double play, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers. Everson Pereira out at 2nd. Luisangel Acuña out at 1st.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CWS 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+163 / -199
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Mitchell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Christian Yelich scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 1) — +16% Brewers
7Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luisangel Acuña. Garrett Mitchell scores.1–6
6Brandon Lockridge singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luisangel Acuña. David Hamilton scores.1–5
4Munetaka Murakami homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
2Christian Yelich singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Sean Burke. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Sean Burke.0–4
1Garrett Mitchell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Christian Yelich scores. Jake Bauers scores.0–3
1Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to right fielder Everson Pereira. Brice Turang scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






