Rangers at Phillies
Last play · Alec Bohm pops out to shortstop Corey Seager.
Win probability
Phillies0%
TEX 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 0 PHI
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+128 / -154
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Edmundo Sosa scores. Adolis García scores. (inning 9) — +49% Phillies
10Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. J.T. Realmuto scores. Otto Kemp to 3rd.5–4
10Andrew McCutchen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Wyatt Langford scores. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.5–3
10Corey Seager strikes out swinging.4–3
9Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Edmundo Sosa scores. Adolis García scores.3–3
9Adolis García doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Alec Bohm scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd.3–1
3Jake Burger homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–0
1Corey Seager homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






