Rangers at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner grounds into a double play, second baseman Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Jake Burger. Dylan Moore out at 2nd. Trea Turner out at 1st.
Win probability
Phillies0%
TEX 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 5 – 0 PHI
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Sam Haggerty scores. (inning 3) — -26% Rangers
8Bryson Stott singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd.8–3
7Corey Seager out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Justin Crawford. Ezequiel Duran scores. Wyatt Langford to 2nd.8–2
7Ezequiel Duran doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Otto Kemp. Evan Carter scores.7–2
6Adolis García out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Trea Turner scores.6–2
6Alec Bohm hit by pitch. Justin Crawford scores. Trea Turner to 3rd. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.6–1
6Kyle Higashioka singles on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Andrew McCutchen scores.6–0
4Andrew McCutchen homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Corey Seager scores. Jake Burger scores.5–0
3Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Sam Haggerty scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






