Nationals at Phillies
WSH13–
PHI2Last play · Bryce Harper flies out to right fielder James Wood.
Win probability
Phillies0%
WSH 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 7 – 2 PHI
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+146 / -177
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daylen Lile reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Edmundo Sosa. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Nationals
9Daylen Lile grounds into a force out, second baseman Edmundo Sosa to shortstop Trea Turner. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. Brady House out at 2nd. Daylen Lile to 1st.13–2
9Luis García Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Jorbit Vivas scores. Joey Wiemer scores. James Wood to 2nd.12–2
9James Wood walks. José Tena scores. Jorbit Vivas to 3rd. Joey Wiemer to 2nd.10–2
6Jorbit Vivas caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Rafael Marchán to second baseman Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper. José Tena scores.9–2
6José Tena singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Daylen Lile scores.8–2
5Rafael Marchán homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Marsh scores.7–2
3Brady House grounds into a force out, third baseman Alec Bohm to second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Joey Wiemer scores. Luis García Jr. out at 2nd. Brady House to 1st.7–0
3Nationals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Luis García Jr. grounds into a force out, second baseman Edmundo Sosa to shortstop Trea Turner. Jorbit Vivas scores. Joey Wiemer to 3rd. James Wood out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. to 1st.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.