Tigers at Padres
Last play · Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
DET 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 8 – 0 SD
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Padres favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kevin McGonigle doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. (inning 1) — -16% Tigers
7Ramón Laureano homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.8–2
6Xander Bogaerts doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.8–1
5Dillon Dingler homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Kevin McGonigle scores.8–0
3Parker Meadows singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Spencer Torkelson scores. Kevin McGonigle scores.6–0
1Dillon Dingler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Spencer Torkelson scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.4–0
1Kevin McGonigle doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.3–0
1Spencer Torkelson walks. Gleyber Torres scores. Colt Keith to 3rd. Riley Greene to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






