Tigers at Padres
Last play · Kevin McGonigle strikes out swinging, catcher Freddy Fermin to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
Win probability
Padres100%
DET 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 3 SD
Padres led after 5
Padres favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado walks. (inning 3) — +12% Padres
5Jackson Merrill grounds into a force out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to shortstop Kevin McGonigle. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd. Manny Machado out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.0–3
3Manny Machado walks.0–2
3Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Freddy Fermin scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






