Yankees at Giants
Last play · Rafael Devers grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYY 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Paul Goldschmidt scores. (inning 6) — -29% Yankees
6Giancarlo Stanton homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
6Aaron Judge homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Paul Goldschmidt scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






