Yankees at Giants
Last play · Patrick Bailey grounds into a double play, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice. Jared Oliva out at 2nd. Patrick Bailey out at 1st.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYY 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 1 SF
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Trent Grisham scores. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 3) — -26% Yankees
5Aaron Judge homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
3Matt Chapman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jung Hoo Lee scores.2–1
3Ben Rice doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Trent Grisham scores. Cody Bellinger scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






